To ensure sustained improvement in assessing complex issues, analysis. Recognizing and countering biases in intelligence analysis. While intelligence referred to as iq is important, success in life depends more on eq. Everything that you write must be based on facts that have been analyzed logically and, as much as possible, without biases. Wheaton, chair analytic confidence in intelligence analysis is a topic on which very little. These professionals, in most cases meeting each other for the first time, worked together in breakout groups to discuss new pressures on and implications for the profession of intelligence analysis. Us army intelligence analysis and assessment of gateway. Start with the end in mind what does the customers need want. This product contains us persons information, which has been included consistent with applicable laws, directives, and policies. The views and opinions expressed or implied in the journal are those of the authors and should not be con. We did not make an assessment of the impact that russian activities had on the outcome of the 2016 election. Assessments develop in response to leadership declaration requirements to inform decision making. Howard earl gardner born july 11, 1943 in scranton, pennsylvania is an american developmental psychologist. Following this description is an introduction of challenges to the successful application of risk analysis to intelligence analysis.
This usarec tc provides leaders, recruiters, and civilians with the common concepts and techniques to execute or support the task execution of intelligence and market analysis. Improving outcomes intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance assessment brig gen timothy d. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please see rand permissions. For example, military analysis may focus exclusively on analyzing key technical and military variables sometimes called factors of a military force and assume. A guide for practitioners, charles has produced a book aimed at the practical level and designed to empower the intelligence analyst with concepts and tools to achieve a tangible result. Removing caveats for sake of simplicity in assessing intelligence accuracy. Raising our understanding of the origins of intelligence and analysis helps us to understand both where we are now and howwhy we.
The chapter closes with a summary of how risk analysis can best serve the intelligence analysis community. U n classifiedfor o f ficial u s e o n ly ufouo sovereign citizen extremist ideology will drive violence at home, during travel, and at government facilities. The consulting firm offers numerous tools for individuals and organizations. Psychology of intelligence analysis central intelligence agency. Assessing the tradecraft of intelligence analysis rand corporation. Content analysis for proactive protective intelligence. Although this recommendation reflects enterprise objectives 2 and 5 of the national intelligence strategy office of the director of national intelligence, 2009. Once this assessment is completed, the intelligence officer compares and evaluates the information he derives with other intelligence information in his possession comparative analysis. This document is unclassifiedfor official use only ufouo. First annual conference on intelligence analysis methods and tools, may 2005 pnnlsa44274 top ten needs for intelligence analysis tool development richard v. I usually start by asking myself simple questions to frame the assessment and determine my best course of action. Intelligence studies is the academic field concerning intelligence assessment, especially relating to international relations and military science.
Purpose of policy framework the policy will ensure consistent approaches to the collecting, handling, analysis and dissemination of intelligence by hmpps. Here comes an account of a variety of problems that may so easily be overlooked in discussions of the task of connecting the dots in situations as complex as intelligence. Peterson master of science in applied intelligence mercyhurst college, 2007 professor kristan j. The main goal of tiacritis and the associated textbook is to help the intelligence analysts understand this complexity and be able to cope with it. The intelligence analysis assessment tool pro vided earlier in this article is meant to be a guide to action and an instrument of change.
Assessing the tradecraft of intelligence analysis rand. Intelligence assessment is the development of behavior forecasts or recommended courses of action to the leadership of an organisation, based on wide ranges of available overt and covert information. Howard gardners theory of multiple intelligences utilizes aspects of cognitive and. This was a basic analytical intelligence training curriculum for law enforcement and regulatory. It also raises our awareness of how intelligence analysis is a continually changing, evolving practice, which if it is to remain relevant and useful in a practical sense. How to write an intelligence product in the bottom line up. Supplemental information is provided in circular a, appendix iii, security of federal automated information resources. It also raises our awareness of how intelligence analysis. While the course provides the basics of criminal intelligence analysis methodology, the information is. Learn how to do intelligence analysis from a top intelligence professional. Scope this report includes an analytic assessment drafted and coordinated among the central intelligence.
The final step in the process is integration or synthesis. Intelligence community 9 of the job often entailed evaluating and explaining secrets and other. Three important global trends tend to push conflict assessment and intelligence analysis. An introduction to intelligence research and analysis.
This course is designed for both collectors and consumers of intelligence, as well as newly assigned terrorism intelligence analysts and terrorism liaison officers tlo. Introduction the importance of assessing the information flow of the military intelligence process has been brought to light in recent years. Explained the joint intelligence process and rewrote the section to better develop its characteristics. At this level, the analysis consists in assessing raw data to see if the product respects the cumulative criteria for national security intelligence. The quick emotional intelligence self assessment emotional intelligence referred to as eq is your ability to be aware of, understand, and manage your emotions. In order to meet the challenges facing law enforcement today, it is important that intelligence professionals be equipped with the right tools to effectively and efficiently perform their duties and produce meaningful and useful intelligence products.
Top ten needs for intelligence analysis tool development. Pdf advances in information technology it have prompted tremendous growth in security issues for companies. Charts and graphs should be used in the body of an intelligence. An introductory discussion of single and allsource analysis. The descriptions are drawn from what may only be available in the form of deliberately deceptive information. Chapter 1fundamentals of intelligence analysis chapter 1 is a revision of chapter 1 of the previous manual and provides an overview discussion on the intelligence analysis process. Department of energy under contract deac0576rl01830 pacific northwest national laboratory richland, washington 99352. How to write an intelligence product in the bottom line up front bluf format this exercise will demonstrate how to write an intelligence product in the bluf format, using an intelligence assessment produced by the u. Intelligence analysis the mindset challenge using the analytic techniques contained in this primer will assist analysts in dealing with the perennial problems of intelligence. For example, military analysis may focus exclusively on analyzing key technical and military variables. Improving intelligence analysis with decision science. My fool proof process to writing a killer intelligence.
Working to transform how cbp manages the collection, analysis, and dissemination of intelligence, the cbp ie will focus on four key intelligence enablers. The framework used for this assessment is based on daniel golemans emotional intelligence. Howard gardners theory of multiple intelligences utilizes aspects of cognitive and developmental psychology, anthropology, and. Drivers of prediction accuracy in world politics barbara mellers, eric stone, pavel atanasov, nick rohrbaugh, s. Recognizing and countering biases in intelligence analysis with tiacritis gheorghe tecuci, david schum, dorin marcu, mihai boicu learning agents center, volgenau school of engineering, george. A guide for practitioners, charles has produced a book aimed at the practical level and designed to empower the intelligence. Managing emotional intelligence lisa carver moxie consulting, inc. Take the following self assessment to learn your eq strengths.
Appropriate factors to consider when assessing analytic confidence in intelligence analysis by joshua j. Allsource intelligence analysis is done exclusively by the cia, dia, and the state departments bureau of intelligence and research. This report assesses the tradecraft of intelligence analysis across the main u. It includes a needs analysis for a local chamber of commerce, and outlines the. This article has provided a detailed look at emotional intelligence testing, including an. Content analysis for proactive protective intelligence a sanfilippo december 2010 prepared for the u. The national infrastructure advisory council niac set out to determine whether the right people are receiving the right intelligence information at. Using risk analysis to inform intelligence analysis. The report makes a number of recommendations for improving analysis.
Timely and accurate intelligence analysis is key to understanding the innerworkings and driving factors of crime phenomena and criminal enterprises. Intelligence analysis is the application of individual and collective cognitive methods to weigh data and test hypotheses within a secret sociocultural context. Criminal intelligence manual for analysts united nations office on drugs and crime vienna united nations new york, 2011. Pdf understanding and improving intelligence analysis. A central focus of intelligence is the identification, analysis and assessment. Introduction to strategic intelligence analysis for law enforcement and public safety officials this course is available for onsite training only. Pdf evaluating the quality of intelligence analysis. The us intelligence community is charged with monitoring and assessing the intentions. Where there requires additional information, the analyst may direct some collection. If youre really invested in developing your emotional intelligence, check out talentsmart, cofounded by ei expert travis bradberry. The report makes a number of recommendations for improving analysis for a world of threats very different from that of the cold war. Intelligence community 9 of the job often entailed evaluating and explaining secrets and other bits of. According to the central intelligence agency, intelligence analysis is. Proposals to improve intelligence analysis have had little impact as analysts, their.
We will bring this course to your agency or company. Information available as of 17 january 2019 was used in the preparation of this assessment. In 1949, sherman kent, described as the father of us intelligence analysis, said. U during our interviews for the assessment of dod longterm intelligence analysis capabilities, multiple organizations highlighted the significantly diminished science and. Reviewing the historical background, the roots of intelligence and analysis as a process and as a profession is a useful and important exercise. Contact don dickson, onsite training manager at 301 4555633 or don. Assess your emotional intelligence on the four ei dimensions. Net assessment artificial intelligence narrative analysis. Because this book is now out of print, this portable document file pdf is formatted. A slightly more extensive scale was included in an assessment. Note that despite the pdf title and the declassification notes, this document actually came out of us army intelligence. It sets out the purposes for which intelligence is. The process usually involves accumulating information about a variety of circumstances and individuals who have knowledge in areas that include strategy, operations, or tactical intelligence.
Terrorism intelligence analysis terrorism intelligence analysis tia. Intelligence analysis is the process by which the information collected about an enemy is used to answer tactical questions about current operations or to predict future behavior. Intelligence assessment unclassifiedfor official use only unclassifiedfor official use only ufouo baseline comparison of us and foreign anarchist extremist movements 4 april 2016 office of intelligence and analysis ia009416 u warning. Allsource analysts complete a more thorough evaluation and assessment of the collected information by integrating the information from other classified and unclassified sources. An introduction to intelligence research and analysis scarecrow professional intelligence security and professional intelligence education series clauser, jerome on. Pdf intelligence analyst guide ionel nitu academia. Intelligence collection, analysis and reissue date. The intelligence community ic plays an essential role in the national security of the united states. Emotional intelligence is a relatively new area of positive psychology, so expect to hear more about it as time goes on. A discussion of collaboration and automation support to intelligence analysis. My fool proof process to writing a killer intelligence brief and tips to deliver intelligence assessments better. You could sit down and read this, this and this to learn about.
An introduction to intelligence research and analysis scarecrow professional intelligence security and professional intelligence. Foundations of intelligence analysis training fiat offered by the national white collar crime center. Background to assessing russian activities and intentions. Bishop, and michael horowitz university of pennsylvania ed merkle university of missouri philip tetlock university of pennsylvania. My statement reflects the collective insights of the intelligence communitys extraordinary women and men, whom i am privileged and honored to lead. Intelligence analysis involves searching for, selecting, processing, and interpreting data in order to gain an awareness of current situations and forecast potentially important future developments in areas of interest to decisionmaking stakeholders. When assessing the available data, the analyst can build premises. Appropriate factors to consider when assessing analytic. Department of justice doj national drug intelligence center ndic as an example. Essential tradecraft for intelligence analysts intelligence 101. Intelligence analysis is a process of collecting and generating intelligence from multiple sources such as data and information. Charts and graphs should be used in the body of an intelligence product to help simplify important concepts. Wheaton, chair analytic confidence in intelligence analysis.
Behavioral and social scientific foundations analysis in the u. Intelligence cycle and process the learners guide to. Learn how to convey your assessment in a way that is short, sharp and clear while still compelling your audience to act. Define emotional intelligence ei and discuss importance. Us army intelligence analysis and assessment of gateway process 1983 pdf cia. Critical thinking strategies 23 hours in this third session we address critical thinkingthe interpretation, assessment and reasoning skills required for success in intelligence analysis.
Sourcing information shall enable readers to discover and retrieve sources consistent with icd 501, discovery and dissemination or retrieval of information within the intelligence. The united states army recruiting command usarec has the. Dick heuers contribution to intelligence analysis by jack davis i applaud cias center for the study of intelligence for making the work of richards j. Training online law enforcement intelligence analysis. The attack on the twin towers in 2001, even more unexpected and unforeseen than the fall of the berlin wall, dealt a serious blow to intelligence commu. Background to assessing russian activities and intentions in. The tools examined in this document represent the basic toolbox that the. Conflict assessment and intelligence analysis the web site cannot. Intelligence information sharing homeland security.
1031 853 1338 263 1184 1018 1241 1457 777 1403 957 1017 45 714 450 49 746 540 557 1200 1081 307 625 1145 626 1325 107 477 1350 1012 574 1181 295 589 840 14 1077 574 335